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Industrial Securities' investment strategy for the construction industry in 2025: internal and external resonance, optimistic about debt conversion and the "Belt and Road" industry, Industrial Securities Research Report said that the construction industry will face certain pressure in 2024, and it is expected that infrastructure investment will remain high in 2025, driven by the debt conversion policy. Review and prospect of plate market: central state-owned enterprises and design plates led the gains, with obvious excess returns. Main line 1: Debt conversion is expected to drive the improvement of the management quality of construction central enterprises. 1) The driving force and mode of action of this debt conversion can be compared with the "Belt and Road" market in 2014 and the PPP market in 2016, and the policy is driven from top to bottom. 2) The institutions' positions in construction central enterprises are low, and the valuation of construction central enterprises is also in the lower position of the historical center. 3) The unprecedented intensity of debt conversion will help the central enterprises to realize the double promotion of EPS and PE. Main Line 2: The Belt and Road Initiative is expected to accelerate and benefit international engineering enterprises. The "Belt and Road" market has accelerated its expansion, and international engineering enterprises are expected to accelerate their going out to sea, and their performance and valuation have both improved.CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.Guotai Junan: The long-term incremental "option" brought by humanoid robots is expected to help the valuation of the rare earth sector rise. When looking forward to the strategy of the rare earth sector in 2025, Guotai Junan said that the market had expected that with the slowdown in the growth of core demand power such as new energy vehicles and wind power in the future, the demand for rare earth markets is under downward pressure. However, we expect that the rising consumption of magnetic materials for new energy vehicles and the warming demand for wind power are still expected to support the basic demand growth, and the demand for equipment renewal that began to land in 2024 is expected to become a new driving force for rare earth demand. On the supply side, an orderly pattern of domestic supply has been established, with many overseas planning increments but slow actual volume, and continuous supply-side constraints. In addition, the long-term incremental "options" brought by humanoid robots are also expected to help the valuation of the plate rise.


Summary of Hong Kong stock announcements, Small Vegetable Garden: It is planned to sell about 101 million shares worldwide, and it is expected to be listed on December 20. BOSS direct employment -W: The operating profit in the third quarter increased by 26.5%, and the monthly active users increased by 30%. BAIC Investment and Hyundai Motor injected US$ 1.095 billion into Beijing Hyundai in proportion. China Pacific Insurance: Pacific Life Insurance's premium income from January to November was 228.842 billion yuan. Year-on-year growth of 2.2% Hong Kong Science and Technology Exploration: In November, the total merchandise transaction volume of orders reached HK$ 687 million. SJM Holdings: It plans to acquire new quality digital technology in Hengqin New District, Zhuhai City for 546 million yuan. It plans to discount about 7.89% and place up to 800 million shares. Net raised HK$ 530 million. Kyle Digital Technology: It is planned to allocate a total of 212 million shares at a discount of about 15.38% to raise HK$ 210 million. Mongolian Mining: It is planned to spend US$ 20.5 million to acquire Mongolian copper exploration company and expand diversified mineral business. CGNPC New Energy: In November, the power generation was 1,360.8 GW, a year-on-year decrease of 18%.The Chinese Consulate General in Los Angeles reminded citizens in China to take precautions against mountain fires. Recently, a sudden mountain fire disaster occurred in Malibu, California, USA, causing evacuation and some property losses. The Consulate General in Los Angeles would like to remind China citizens in the consular district to pay attention to the dynamics of mountain fires in a timely manner, make reasonable arrangements for travel, and avoid going to relevant areas; Comply with the local government's disaster avoidance and evacuation guidelines; Scientific protection to reduce the impact of mountain fire smoke on health.South Korean President Yin Xiyue: I will face impeachment, investigation or any possible situation; My martial law attempt cannot constitute rebellion. Martial law is the president's decision to protect the country's freedom, democracy and constitutional order from the dictatorship of the opposition parliament.


On the morning of December 12, 2024, the People's Court of Tongcheng County, Hubei Province publicly pronounced the case of Liu Gang, the former full-time vice chairman of Chengdu Football Association, for corruption, bribery and unit bribery, and sentenced the defendant Liu Gang to seven years in prison for corruption and fined 400,000 yuan. Sentenced to two years in prison for accepting bribes and fined 200,000 yuan; He was sentenced to one year's imprisonment and fined RMB 100,000 for bribery by a company, and decided to execute eight years' imprisonment and fined RMB 700,000. The property obtained from corruption shall be recovered according to law and returned to the injured unit respectively; The property obtained by taking bribes shall be recovered according to law and turned over to the state treasury.Warnick, chief financial officer of Robinhood, reduced his holdings of $6.02 million shares, and Jason Warnick, chief financial officer of Robinhood Markets Inc, reported an insider stock transaction to the US Securities and Exchange Commission, reducing his holdings of $6.02 million shares. Robinhood's share price has risen by 15% in the past month.CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.

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